UPDATED 10:42 EST / NOVEMBER 19 2009

I Was One Year Early on Google Chrome News – A Look Back At My Prediction Last Year

Google is hosting a small press gathering in Mountain View to give an update on their progress with Google Chrome OS. This is a technical announcement and set of demos featuring the Chrome OS team.   Sundar Pichai, Vice President of Product Management will be speaking along with Matthew Papakipos, Engineering Director for Google Chrome OS.

As I prepare to head to Google for their Chrome technical briefing, I was looking back at my post last year when I broke the Chrome news.

Many were talking about a new browser but I took the unique position of saying it was more than that.  This had everything to do with an OS and more about protecting search and rolling out android.

This was my prediction on 9/1/2008 on Chrome.   Lets see what Chrome brings today.   Here is the post that I wrote last year which seemed to be one year to early.

SEARCH WARS now OPERATING SYSTEM WAR – It’s official the search war just turned into the operating system war.

Folks this is the operating system war in full action. One between Microsoft and Google. Google is coming out with their own browser called Chrome.

This browser is a direct maneuver to block Microsoft IE8 (and other msft moves) from cutting off Google’s ‘hooks’ in search and desktop environments. People (like me) who have been following Google since their inception know that they have infested the desktop with little ‘hooks’ into search which translated into adwords and adsense – e.g. toolbar, tracking, and other services. These little hooks provide the superior user experience in navigation and search as well as power the money printing machine at Google (their ad business).

Google’s dominance in search and user navigation experience is at risk with IE8. Why? Because Microsoft’s window of opportunity to leverage their current (and eroding) monopoly in their operating system and browser market share is closing. This Chrome product is a direct answer to that Microsoft push.

Google’s browser is just that – a competitive strategy to maintain their stronghold and defend their current search offering.

Chrome – Beyond Search

Chrome goes beyond search. Google having a browser (Chrome) is strategic. It’s just one piece of the user environment (aka the edge software) that Google needs to own to have a fully functional operating system. By making Chrome open source Google sends a message to the army of software developers that the Google platform is worthy to develop ontop of. Also Google garners the support from a growing and rabid community of developers while deflect any policy and antitrust discussions.

From a platform perspective Chrome as an open source development project increases the range of edge devices that the software can be ported to. I am talking about Android both phone and set top box environments. Open sourcing the project is good for developers and if played right great for Google. We will see which company is friendlier to developers – meaning how does each platform vendor incorporate new developer technology.

Impact on Startups

I am very bullish on Chrome as a good thing to push competition and innovation. It will be a good thing for startups to leverage this massive platform shift. For startups it’s an opportunity if you can see the vision of these platforms then intersect a business or technology deal into it.

Good Luck Google and I hope to see startups and 3rd party technology in the platform. For me success will be judged by the user experience and the amount of 3rd party participation. Google will fail if they can’t build a developer ecosystem around their platform.


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